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    PPG INDUSTRIES (PPG)

    Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

    Reported on Jan 10, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$128.04Last close (Jul 19, 2024)
    Post-Earnings Price$128.04Last close (Jul 19, 2024)
    Price Change
    $0.00(0.00%)
    • PPG's Aerospace segment is experiencing strong demand, with a backlog of almost $300 million, and everything they can make is sold and shipped. The company is adding capacity and improving productivity to meet this demand, which is expected to continue in the near future.
    • Confidence in continued growth and market share gains in the Packaging Coatings business, driven by innovative technologies in interior can and exterior coatings. PPG expects to maintain and grow its share gains, which are independent of competitors' issues.
    • Outperformance in key end markets and regions, including Automotive Refinish Coatings, where PPG continues to gain share through digital systems, and consistent growth in markets like Mexico, China, and India. This positions PPG to outperform market growth rates in these areas.
    • PPG has lowered its full-year EPS guidance due to weaker volumes, particularly in the global auto OEM segment and architectural Europe, reflecting challenges in key markets. ,
    • Volume growth has been an ongoing issue for PPG for the last 11 quarters, indicating difficulty in growing sales volumes across their businesses.
    • The automotive segment is facing deceleration, with further shutdowns in June, and PPG may face challenges passing through raw material cost increases in the auto OEM business, which is typically slow to adjust prices. ,
    1. U.S./Canada Architectural Coatings Sale
      Q: Is there increased likelihood of selling the U.S./Canada architectural business?
      A: PPG has received strong and diverse interest in their U.S./Canada architectural coatings business, including full sale, joint ventures, and partnerships. They are making good progress and remain on schedule to determine a path forward, but it's too early to say which option will prevail. They had a very good quarter with mid-single-digit growth in this business, with no significant disruptions or market share losses due to the strategic review. The best transaction for shareholders will balance immediate proceeds with the long-term strategic value of any retained interests.

    2. Auto OEM Outlook and Downtime
      Q: Why did PPG's auto OEM volumes underperform, and is it a recession signal?
      A: PPG's auto OEM business underperformed due to increased summer downtimes at specific assembly plants in the U.S. and Europe, and cautious production plans in China following EV tariff announcements. This is seen as a transitory issue rather than a foreshadowing of a recession, with adjustments driven by inventory levels and consumer affordability concerns.

    3. European Volumes and Architectural Challenges
      Q: What caused the volume decline in Europe, and what's the outlook?
      A: European volumes declined more than expected, particularly in June, due to softness in the decorative business and auto OEM sector. France, a key market, experienced a slowdown due to unique situations, while Eastern Europe showed strength. Some competitive price pressures have emerged in architectural EMEA, but overall pricing is holding up due to higher wage and benefit inflation. Sequential improvement is expected in Q3, but volumes may still be down versus prior year.

    4. Raw Materials and TiO₂ Pricing
      Q: Will Chinese TiO₂ tariffs impact PPG's costs, and how will they manage?
      A: PPG foresees no impact from Chinese TiO₂ tariffs in 2024 due to contractual coverage. For 2025, they plan to reduce TiO₂ consumption per batch, leverage increased sourcing flexibility, and, if necessary, offset costs with price increases, especially in the decorative business. They are neither advantaged nor disadvantaged compared to competitors and have production outside the EU not affected by tariffs.

    5. Aerospace Business Capacity Constraints
      Q: How significant are the aerospace capacity constraints and plans to expand?
      A: PPG's aerospace business has a backlog of almost $300 million, with everything they can make being sold and shipped. They are adding capacity through productivity improvements and incremental capital investments and are assessing the need for larger-scale expansion due to strong demand across commercial, general aviation, and military sectors.

    6. Refinish Business Growth and Digital Tools
      Q: What is driving growth in the refinish business, and what's the outlook?
      A: PPG continues to gain market share in refinish by rolling out digital productivity tools like MoonWalk and LINQ, which have been widely accepted. With penetration rates still in single digits globally, they see significant runway for growth, especially outside Europe where the rollout is in early stages. Order patterns are also favorable for the second half due to last year's pricing dynamics.

    7. Packaging Coatings Share Gains
      Q: Can PPG sustain its packaging coatings share gains?
      A: PPG is confident in retaining and growing its share gains in packaging coatings, achieved through technological advancements rather than competitors' disruptions. They are gaining share across various applications, including inside the can, outside the can, easy-open ends, and food lines, independent of isolated industry incidents.

    8. Capital Allocation Strategy
      Q: Will PPG prioritize share repurchases or acquisitions with excess cash?
      A: PPG prefers shareholder value–accretive acquisitions but acknowledges that the acquisition pipeline is currently thin. They have been buying back shares over the last three quarters and will continue to deploy excess cash through share repurchases if suitable acquisitions are not available.

    9. Specialty Business and Silica Sale
      Q: What is the status of the silica sale, and how does PPG view its specialty portfolio?
      A: The silica sale is on track, potentially ahead of the architectural business review, with good interest received. PPG values its remaining specialty businesses, which have leadership positions and high technology content aligning with their R&D strengths, contributing to growth in Q2.

    10. Volume Growth Strategies
      Q: How is PPG addressing volume growth challenges and incentivizing sales?
      A: PPG has modified incentive compensation to drive more organic growth, with some measures already in place and others being implemented. This is part of a multifaceted strategy to enhance their organic growth profile and address volume growth issues experienced over the past quarters.

    11. Impact of Chinese EV Tariffs
      Q: How are Chinese EV tariffs affecting PPG's business?
      A: PPG saw a step-down in China auto production plans after EV tariff announcements, as customers adopted a cautious approach due to export uncertainties. However, they believe this is moderating the growth curve rather than changing its trajectory, with EV production in China still projected to grow by 14% in 2024.

    Research analysts covering PPG INDUSTRIES.